Sadly not. Google Forms only allows you to choose a 'send people a copy of their response' if you make it mandatory to give an email address, which I don't want to do as it would put a lot of people off.
I'm open to suggestions of alternative platforms that would have this functionality.
I've fixed it now - not sure what was going wrong, but have now created the tables in Datawrapper and that has solved the problem. Thank you for pointing it out!
Nick O'Connor here - social worker. I'd love to believe that I'm great at forecasting, but I suspect I did well because a) I got lucky, and b) I took the Brier scoring seriously - where I didn't know I put 50%, where I had a view but not much evidence to back it up I bumped that up to 60%ish.
Ironically, I may have done better as a result of following the news much less closely than I used to - I knew how ignorant I was compared to my past self, which might have given me a more accurate estimate of how ignorant I was in general.
Knowing the limits of your own knowledge is much more valuable than gung-ho overconfidence - whether you're deciding on an investment portfolio or whether to invade Russia in the wintertime!
I wonder what effect Restore Britain will have on questions 6-15: after about a week they're already bigger than the Lib Dems in terms of both membership and bookies' odds of winning the next GE (aggregated on oddschecker). I don't know whether they'll plateau here or continue this trajectory; but either way it's another surprise that probably nobody's predictions accounted for, in an already unusual political landscape.
Got to say I think the bookies are getting way ahead of themselves (or responding to punters who are). Restore's policies and vibes/language from key supporters is much more like the BNP than Reform. They have no well known members, with Lowe their best and he's a little known MP. No national network with any record (LDs have shown they can blanket council areas and byeletions and get their vote out. I see no evidence the Restore 'membership' (which may not even exist beyond an email list) can do the same). I'd be very surprised if they even got 3% at a general election, my guess is under 1% and Lowe losing his seat.
I'm with Quincel here - I think they'll be a flash in the pan, 1-2% at most (and probably won't field many candidates). Could deny Reform a few seats at most.
We've had quite a few of these sort of parties ('Reclaim UK' with Lawrence Fox, the new post-Farage UKIP) and they'll find it hard to get traction. There's not much space to the right of Reform for an openly ethno-nationalist party, plus it's genuinely hard to create a new party and get enough traction for people to vote for you (thinking here of ChangeUK which had a much more compelling offer).
Is there a way to check our full entry? I've already forgotten what I put for most of it.
Sadly not. Google Forms only allows you to choose a 'send people a copy of their response' if you make it mandatory to give an email address, which I don't want to do as it would put a lot of people off.
I'm open to suggestions of alternative platforms that would have this functionality.
Something wrong when I zoom in on the tables -- the image doesn't have the column on the right with the percentages.
I have just tried and the same for me. Very weird!
I will try to fix it this evening - apologies.
In the meantime, zooming in in the email does appear to work.
Thanks. I've unsubscribed from Substack emails because my inbox can't cope. Keeping it manageable is an ongoing battle :-(
I've fixed it now - not sure what was going wrong, but have now created the tables in Datawrapper and that has solved the problem. Thank you for pointing it out!
Nick O'Connor here - social worker. I'd love to believe that I'm great at forecasting, but I suspect I did well because a) I got lucky, and b) I took the Brier scoring seriously - where I didn't know I put 50%, where I had a view but not much evidence to back it up I bumped that up to 60%ish.
Ironically, I may have done better as a result of following the news much less closely than I used to - I knew how ignorant I was compared to my past self, which might have given me a more accurate estimate of how ignorant I was in general.
Knowing the limits of your own knowledge is much more valuable than gung-ho overconfidence - whether you're deciding on an investment portfolio or whether to invade Russia in the wintertime!
I wonder what effect Restore Britain will have on questions 6-15: after about a week they're already bigger than the Lib Dems in terms of both membership and bookies' odds of winning the next GE (aggregated on oddschecker). I don't know whether they'll plateau here or continue this trajectory; but either way it's another surprise that probably nobody's predictions accounted for, in an already unusual political landscape.
Got to say I think the bookies are getting way ahead of themselves (or responding to punters who are). Restore's policies and vibes/language from key supporters is much more like the BNP than Reform. They have no well known members, with Lowe their best and he's a little known MP. No national network with any record (LDs have shown they can blanket council areas and byeletions and get their vote out. I see no evidence the Restore 'membership' (which may not even exist beyond an email list) can do the same). I'd be very surprised if they even got 3% at a general election, my guess is under 1% and Lowe losing his seat.
I'm with Quincel here - I think they'll be a flash in the pan, 1-2% at most (and probably won't field many candidates). Could deny Reform a few seats at most.
We've had quite a few of these sort of parties ('Reclaim UK' with Lawrence Fox, the new post-Farage UKIP) and they'll find it hard to get traction. There's not much space to the right of Reform for an openly ethno-nationalist party, plus it's genuinely hard to create a new party and get enough traction for people to vote for you (thinking here of ChangeUK which had a much more compelling offer).