10 Comments
User's avatar
Edward's avatar

Not sure if you're aware, but the Oscar results come out before the deadline for entry!

Was considering delaying my entry to get lay of the land on various issues, but found that out and thought it wouldn't be fair game. Let's hope my co-operation in this Prisoner's Dilemma doesn't come back to bite me.

Edrith's avatar

I think the nominations are announced on 22nd Jan (i.e. 4 days after the contest closes) and the awards themselves are in March, so I think we're OK - though do say if I'm mistaken.

https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/movies/movie-news/2026-oscars-shortlists-1236452202/

Thank you for the Prisoner's Dilemma cooperation nonetheless!

Edward's avatar

Seems like I was looking at the Golden Globes.

Maybe you can tell I'm not a film buff :)

Neil's avatar

"19. The Government suffers a major Parliamentary defeat on SEND reform that requires it to substantively alter its proposals."

Seems likely to go the same root as Musk in DOGE - if the government revereses policy due to backbencher dissent, but without actually losing a vote in the Commons (as happened with welfare policy) then presumably this resolves as False, but we all feel cheated?

Edrith's avatar

I was actually thinking explicitly of the welfare example when I worded this, so disappointing I didn't succeed!

If it occurs in the same way as the welfare situation, I'd resolve that as a yes: I'd class it as a Parliamentary defeat as they u-turned during the Parliamentary process, under pressure from MPs, explicitly to avoid losing a vote (even though such a vote wasn't actually held).

I wouldn't class a u-turn due to strikes, or protests, or just general public opinion (like the recent change on the family farm tax) as a Parliamentary defeat.

Hope that is helpful and sorry the wording wasn't more clear!

Neil's avatar

In this world where everything is officially a special military operation, how are you interpreting

39. A war occurs between Israel and another country (excluding conflict in Gaza or the West Bank)?

Do you consider the conflict between Israel and Hezbollah last year a war? How about the exchange of missiles with Iran?

Edrith's avatar

Yes, I would count both of those as wars.

I wouldn't count e.g. a missile strike on a Houthi base, or a short exchange of fire across the border between two units, as a war.

In the event of it being ambiguous, I will put it to a small group of people for a second opinion, as in previous years.

Matthew Main's avatar

I think you may be conflating UK and England housebuilding data in question 17 (which is slightly modified from last year, from a 300k threshold to 200k).

To resolve last year's question (which specified "the total number of houses built in the UK"), you've used the figure 208,600. But I think this is the "net additional dwellings" in England, not the whole of the UK, per ONS: https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/housing-supply-net-additional-dwellings-england-2024-to-2025/housing-supply-net-additional-dwellings-england-2024-to-2025

The figures for the rest of the UK are not as easy to find, but probably amounted to another 30-40k additional dwellings.

Last year, this didn't matter, as both England and UK would have been comfortably below 300k, so it could clearly resolve as FALSE. But this year, it could be the case that England is <200k, but the UK total is >200k. So unless I have misunderstood, I think you need to clarify this question.

Edrith's avatar

Good point.

I think the question is clear as written (it refers to the UK) but that I answered it incorrectly last year, for England only - though, as you said, it didn't actually matter to how it resolved.

I'll make sure to answer it for the UK this year (and will go back to amend the 208k figure in the previous post).

HeinrichHyser's avatar

Also came here to comment this! Just to flag also, net additional dwellings =/= new houses built. As it includes stuff like conversions, which inflates the figure compared to just 'new houses built'.

For what it's worth, I'm using this metric https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/housing/datasets/ukhousebuildingpermanentdwellingsstartedandcompleted (which on page 2a measures "Completed - All Dwellings" for UK as a whole for financial year)

But if you'd instead base it on 'net additional dwellings' for UK as a whole (can't find those figures, but maybe they exist if you add each nation together) please do let us know